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Making an Impact
“The Lone Star Project … hammers Republicans whenever it gets a chance, promoting strong local Democratic candidates and even bringing lawsuits.”
(Roll Call, Stuart Rothenberg,
March 12, 2009)
“Anyone who questions whether [The Lone Star Project] can make life difficult for a Republican legislator should talk to former Sen. Kim Brimer.”
(Austin American Statesman, February 17, 2009)
“[The Lone Star Project] is responsible for the aggressive stance the party has taken toward DeLay and other Lone Star State Republicans since the 2004 election.”
(The Washington Post, March 6, 2006)
"David Dewhurst has said most Texans don't have much sympathy "for someone who that can't fill out a two page [health insurance] application every six months".
The Democrat-supported Lone Star Project in Washington reported this week that Dewhurst failed to file necessary forms at least six times in recent years.
(San Antonio Expres News,, 4/12/2007)
"The Justice staff memo was obtained by the Lone Star Project ...The story broke the same day the U.S. Supreme Court was considering legal challenges to the plan brought by Democrats and minority groups."
(Houston Chronicle, 12/3/2005)
"The Texas chapter of the NAACP, along with the Lone Star Project, have analyzed the amicus brief filed by the Justice Department and have concluded, justifiably, that the Voting Rights section of the Justice Department is now controlled by partisan political appointees."
(Roll Call - Donna Brazile, 2/28/2006)
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Lessons from Tom DeLay - How to Rig A Texas
Election
Chapter 1: Avoiding a Special Election and
Hand Picking Your Candidate
Situation
You are a powerful but
controversial incumbent politician who is embroiled in a bribery scandal and
under indictment for money laundering. You must resign your seat to avoid
an embarrassing defeat at the polls and to use your campaign funds to pay legal
fees. However, you want to retain influence in order to hand pick a
successor beholden to you. Follow the simple steps
below. |
Step
1
Remain a candidate until after your party primary has
passed. If necessary, make bold statements declaring that you will win the
race. This will protect your tough guy image and most importantly keeps
campaign contributors on the hook and giving as long as possible.
"I plan to run a very vigorous campaign, and I plan to win it," he
[DeLay] said. (Source: The Associated Press - March 4,
2006).
Step 2
Soon after the primary,
announce that you are not going to run after all. This is tricky.
You need to announce quickly following the primary, so you can protect as much
campaign cash as possible for your legal bills. Don’t announce too soon
though, because you don’t want to trigger a special election on May 13, a
statutory election day in Texas. (Source: Texas Election Code §
41.001) An announcement during the first week of April is just about
right.
See Steps 3 through 7 or in PDF
Tom DeLay: A Bully Takes a Coward’s Exit
Lone Star Project Sorts through Texas Election Code
Regarding DeLay Replacement
“It's just so contrary to what Texas is all about, to turn tail and run and not fight for what you believe in.”-Tom DeLay, (El Paso Times, May 14, 2003) in a now ironic comment criticizing Texas House members who broke quorum to block his redistricting scheme.
Tom DeLay will apparently leave Congress in the same shameful way he exercised power, acting like a bully who is above the law and a coward who wants to rig one last election. DeLay will leave the State of Texas bitterly divided along partisan lines, led by corrupt leaders like House Speaker Tom Craddick and Governor Rick Perry. From Sam Rayburn to George W. Bush, Texans crossed party lines to do what was best for our state and its people. First in Washington and then in Austin, Tom DeLay destroyed traditional bipartisanship and now leaves Texas in worse shape than he found it. As a result of DeLay’s corrupt redistricting scheme and the ethics scandal that surrounds him, Texas lost almost 100 years of seniority and high leadership positions in both parties. Now, rather than face the judgment of the voters in a race against an accomplished and ethical opponent, Tom DeLay has decided to “turn tail and run.”
Replacing a resigning Member of Congress is not a straightforward task. Read the Full Lone Star Project release in HTML or in a PDF
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Baseline Analysis of Texas Governor's Race
Strayhorn’s Task Harder and Bell’s Chances Better than Assumed
The unusual multi-candidate gubernatorial field in Texas has created an environment that may defy current conventional wisdom. Particularly, early observers may be overestimating the ability of Carole Strayhorn to garner a plurality of support in a potential four candidate field without the base of support that a party nomination provides. Conversely, although Chris Bell has raised relatively little money to date, he won the Democratic primary easily and has a voting record and political history virtually all Democrats, and some true independents, can embrace.
An analysis of the four-candidate field, based on projected voter turnout in 2006, shows that in order to compete and win, Strayhorn would have to run a campaign that simultaneously cuts deeply into the expected Republican vote that would otherwise go to Rick Perry AND cut significantly into the expected Democratic vote that would otherwise go to Bell. Gaining a little from both won’t work, and cutting deeply into one, but not the other, falls short as well.
The Lone Star Project developed a model to help forecast the election results for Texas Governor. An explanation of the model and the Lone Star Project’s conclusions are offered below. However, you can use the model to develop your own forecast online at the Lone Star Project Vote Simulator.
Read the rest of full release or in PDF
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